Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Erlangen		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	1.85	7.5	2.6
	1.67	8.8	2.6
	1.60	8.44	2.84	Watch
	1.68	9.4	2.62	Watch
	1.78	8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.6)	8.43 ↓ (8.44)	2.66 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlangen
54.1%

Draw
11%

Stuttgart
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

10.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

10.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Erlangen - Stuttgart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 4.

Erlangen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stuttgart is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Erlangen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erlangen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 539:519. (average 28.4:27.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erlangen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 258:238. (average 28.7:26.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
23.11.25	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	34:26 ✺
16.11.25	Erlangen - TBV Lemgo	24:25 ✺
08.11.25	Erlangen - Eisenach	24:23 ✺
26.10.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Erlangen	36:30 ✺
18.10.25	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	33:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- TVB 1898 Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Handball
20.11.25	Stuttgart - GWD Minden	35:26 ✺
13.11.25	Eisenach - Stuttgart	28:24 ✺
German DHB Pokal
05.11.25	Stuttgart - Flensburg-Handewitt	29:35 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
26.10.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Stuttgart	38:34 ✺
19.10.25	Stuttgart - Füchse Berlin	30:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
18.05.25	Stuttgart - Erlangen	27:30
20.09.24	Erlangen - Stuttgart	25:26
29.05.24	Erlangen - Stuttgart	26:23
15.12.23	Stuttgart - Erlangen	29:30
27.12.22	Erlangen - Stuttgart	31:28
08.09.22	Stuttgart - Erlangen	27:29
31.03.22	Stuttgart - Erlangen	34:29

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