Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Erlangen		TBV Lemgo

	1	X	2
	3	8	1.67
	2.6	7.6	1.71
	2.46	8.05	1.78	Watch
	2.5	9.3	1.74
	2.8	8	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.46)	8.19 ↑ (8.05)	1.72 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlangen
34.7%

Draw
11.3%

TBV Lemgo
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

11.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

11.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Erlangen - TBV Lemgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erlangen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lemgo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lemgo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 53.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lemgo (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5, OT - Erlangen (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Erlangen (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Erlangen (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lemgo (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lemgo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lemgo has had a series of home games.

Lemgo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 535:565. (average 26.8:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erlangen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 272:276. (average 27.2:27.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
08.11.25	Erlangen - Eisenach	24:23 ✺
26.10.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Erlangen	36:30 ✺
18.10.25	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	33:26 ✺
09.10.25	Gummersbach - Erlangen	33:22 ✺
04.10.25	Erlangen - Füchse Berlin	35:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
09.11.25	TBV Lemgo - Hannover-Burgdorf	29:30 ✺
German DHB Pokal
05.11.25	TBV Lemgo - Gummersbach	30:27 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.10.25	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	28:22 ✺
16.10.25	TBV Lemgo - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	25:22 ✺
12.10.25	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	32:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
06.03.25	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	30:24
22.12.24	Erlangen - TBV Lemgo	19:28
08.02.24	Erlangen - TBV Lemgo	26:25
03.09.23	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	28:27
05.03.23	Erlangen - TBV Lemgo	31:31
27.11.22	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	34:27
30.04.22	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	27:33

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