Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	MT Melsungen		TBV Lemgo

	1	X	2
	1.8	7.5	2.7
	1.74	7.4	2.55
	1.55	7.99	3.10	Watch
	1.85	9.1	2.23
	1.75	8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)	8 ↑ (7.99)	2.67 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

MT Melsungen
53.5%

Draw
11.6%

TBV Lemgo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

11.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

11.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MT Melsungen's form might have worsened.

TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TBV Lemgo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MT Melsungen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TBV Lemgo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lemgo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

#ad

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 4.

Melsungen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lemgo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lemgo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melsungen might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Melsungen will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 543:512. (average 27.2:25.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Melsungen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 239:224. (average 26.6:24.9).

Last Results with these Odds

MT Melsungen - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.03%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MT Melsungen
EHF European League
21.10.25	HF Karlskrona - MT Melsungen	25:26 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
18.10.25	THW Kiel - MT Melsungen	31:29 ✺
EHF European League
14.10.25	MT Melsungen - Benfica	28:26 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
10.10.25	MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig	34:25 ✺
05.10.25	Stuttgart - MT Melsungen	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
16.10.25	TBV Lemgo - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	25:22 ✺
12.10.25	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	32:30 ✺
04.10.25	GWD Minden - TBV Lemgo	24:34 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Eintracht Hagen - TBV Lemgo	25:36 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.09.25	TBV Lemgo - Bergischer	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
04.06.25	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	26:26
05.09.24	TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen	20:28
22.03.24	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	26:25
24.09.23	TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen	25:28
26.12.22	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	20:19
10.09.22	TBV Lemgo - MT Melsungen	28:28
19.05.22	MT Melsungen - TBV Lemgo	18:23

Upcoming Matches