Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Eskilstuna Guif		Lugi

	1	X	2
	1.62	7.5	2.8
	1.6	9.5	2.85
	1.59	8.82	2.97
	1.44	8.5	3.1
	1.67	8.5	2.83	Watch
	1.61	8.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.32)	8.6 ↓ (9.02)	2.91 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eskilstuna Guif
57.8%

Draw
10.7%

Lugi
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

10.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

9.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eskilstuna Guif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eskilstuna Guif's form might have worsened.

Lugi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eskilstuna Guif than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eskilstuna Guif, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugi than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eskilstuna Guif - Lugi Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Eskilstuna Guif will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eskilstuna Guif won 2.

Eskilstuna Guif is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eskilstuna Guif could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eskilstuna Guif is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Eskilstuna Guif won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 544-563.

Including matches at home between the teams Eskilstuna Guif won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 276-259.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eskilstuna Guif
Swedish Elitserien Handball
04.03.24	Hallby - Eskilstuna Guif	38:29 ✺
01.03.24	Eskilstuna Guif - Sävehof	26:38 ✺
18.02.24	Eskilstuna Guif - Ystads IF	26:30 ✺
11.02.24	HF Karlskrona - Eskilstuna Guif	31:34 ✺
04.02.24	Alingsås - Eskilstuna Guif	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT
- Lugi HF
Swedish Elitserien Handball
03.03.24	Amo HK - Lugi	28:25 ✺
28.02.24	Lugi - Malmö	27:29 ✺
25.02.24	Lugi - Aranäs	25:26 ✺
21.02.24	Hallby - Lugi	31:30 ✺
11.02.24	Lugi - Önnereds	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
28.09.23	Lugi - Eskilstuna Guif	30:25
23.03.23	Eskilstuna Guif - Lugi	35:33
20.09.22	Lugi - Eskilstuna Guif	36:33
10.02.22	Lugi - Eskilstuna Guif	28:29
Swedish Cup Handball
19.11.21	Eskilstuna Guif - Lugi	36:36
15.11.21	Lugi - Eskilstuna Guif	38:29
Swedish Elitserien Handball
23.10.21	Eskilstuna Guif - Lugi	26:24

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