Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 22

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	EÓN Alicante		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.45	9	3.8
	1.55	8.2	3
	1.66	9.16	2.58	Watch
	1.53	8	2.88
	1.53	9.2	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	8.71 ↓ (9.16)	3.08 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EÓN Alicante
59.6%

Draw
10.6%

Villa de Aranda
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

9.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

10.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EÓN Alicante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa de Aranda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EÓN Alicante than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EÓN Alicante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa de Aranda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

EÓN Alicante - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. EÓN Alicante will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

Recent performances by EÓN Alicante have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villa de Aranda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

EÓN Alicante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EÓN Alicante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 80:83. (average 26.7:27.7).

Including home match between the teams, EÓN Alicante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:24.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Horneo Alicante	5	2	0	3	145:169	4
14	Villa de Aranda	4	0	1	3	109:131	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balonmano EÓN Alicante
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.03.26	Atlético Valladolid - EÓN Alicante	31:30 ✺
06.03.26	EÓN Alicante - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:28 ✺
01.03.26	EÓN Alicante - Naturhouse La Rioja	31:29 ✺
21.02.26	Torrelavega - EÓN Alicante	29:28 ✺
15.02.26	EÓN Alicante - Quabit Guadalajara	32:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLW
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
15.03.26	Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:35 ✺
08.03.26	Torrelavega - Villa de Aranda	28:25 ✺
28.02.26	Villa de Aranda - Quabit Guadalajara	36:32 ✺
20.02.26	Barcelona - Villa de Aranda	41:27 ✺
14.02.26	Villa de Aranda - BM Huesca	30:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.10.25	Villa de Aranda - EÓN Alicante	30:26
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.01.24	Villa de Aranda - EÓN Alicante	29:22
23.09.23	EÓN Alicante - Villa de Aranda	32:24

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