Match Info

1. Division - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Fåborg		Tønder

	1	X	2
	6.2	11	1.18
	4.4	9.5	1.3
	5.22	11.2	1.23
	6.2	11	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (3.79)	10.68 ↑ (9.27)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fåborg
16.6%

Draw
8.6%

Tønder
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

9.8%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

10%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fåborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fåborg's form might have worsened.

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tønder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fåborg than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fåborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tønder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fåborg - Tønder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:32

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Preview

Fåborg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tønder in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Tønder is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tønder to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fåborg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fåborg HK
Danish 1 Division Handball
30.03.25	Aarhus - Fåborg	18:3 ✺
21.03.25	Rækker Mølle - Fåborg	30:26 ✺
07.03.25	Fåborg - Midtjylland	30:35 ✺
01.03.25	HØJ - Fåborg	35:24 ✺
22.02.25	Fåborg - FIF	26:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
30.03.25	Tønder - Rækker Mølle	37:36 ✺
21.03.25	Midtjylland - Tønder	29:34 ✺
09.03.25	Tønder - HØJ	26:26 ✺
02.03.25	FIF - Tønder	22:37 ✺
23.02.25	Tønder - Lemvig-Thyborøn	36:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
01.12.24	Tønder - Fåborg	28:28

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