Match Info

1. Division - Round 26

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Midtjylland		Tønder

	1	X	2
	1.68	11	2.41
	1.71	8.59	2.52	Watch
	1.67	9	2.5
	1.73	9.9	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	9.62 ↑ (8.6)	2.47 ↓ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
53.7%

Draw
9.5%

Tønder
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

10.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

10.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2.

Recent form of Midtjylland has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tønder has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Midtjylland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 395:398. (average 28.2:28.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 202:202. (average 28.9:28.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Tonder	7	5	0	2	208:189	10
3	Midtjylland	7	5	0	2	210:201	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Midtjylland
Danish 1 Division Handball
14.03.26	Rækker Mølle - Midtjylland	36:32 ✺
05.03.26	Midtjylland - Lemvig-Thyborøn	29:30 ✺
01.03.26	Midtjylland - TIK Taastrup	30:31 ✺
20.02.26	Norddjurs - Midtjylland	25:34 ✺
13.02.26	Midtjylland - Aarhus	24:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
13.03.26	Tønder - Norddjurs	35:30 ✺
08.03.26	Aarhus - Tønder	32:23 ✺
01.03.26	Tønder - Skive FH	29:34 ✺
22.02.26	Give - Tønder	27:39 ✺
15.02.26	Tønder - KIF Kolding	34:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
30.11.25	Tønder - Midtjylland	32:29
21.03.25	Midtjylland - Tønder	29:34
15.11.24	Tønder - Midtjylland	28:29
16.02.24	Midtjylland - Tønder	24:28
20.10.23	Tønder - Midtjylland	25:27
30.01.22	Tønder - Midtjylland	27:27
24.09.21	Midtjylland - Tønder	32:31

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