Match Info

Olis Deildin - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	FH Hafnarfjordur		Valur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	1.84	8.2	2.41
	1.82	6.91	2.48	Watch
	1.73	8	2.38
	1.72	8.7	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	7.95 ↑ (7.8)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
51.4%

Draw
11.5%

Valur Reykjavik
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

11.7%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

11%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Valur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FH Hafnarfjordur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur Reykjavik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Reykjavik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

Valur leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FH Hafnarfjordur won 2.

In recent matches, FH Hafnarfjordur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

FH Hafnarfjordur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FH Hafnarfjordur won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 580:600. (average 29:30).

Including home matches between the teams, FH Hafnarfjordur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 286:281. (average 28.6:28.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	FH Hafnarfjordur	5	3	1	1	181:164	7
5	Valur	5	3	0	2	185:180	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur Handball
Icelandic Olis Deildin
30.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	32:30 ✺
27.04.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Reykjavik	31:25 ✺
24.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	37:33 ✺
17.04.26	Haukar - FH Hafnarfjordur	35:36 ✺
14.04.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Haukar	27:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Valur Reykjavik Handball
Icelandic Olis Deildin
30.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	32:30 ✺
27.04.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Reykjavik	31:25 ✺
24.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	37:33 ✺
13.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri	38:34 ✺
09.04.26	KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Olis Deildin
30.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	32:30
27.04.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Reykjavik	31:25
24.04.26	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	37:33
05.12.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Reykjavik	29:34
11.09.25	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	27:32
11.02.25	Valur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	33:26
03.10.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur Reykjavik	23:30

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