Match Info

European League - Group Stage

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Fenix Toulouse		Sesvete

	1	X	2
	1.25	10	5	Watch
	1.28	11	4.4	Watch
	1.51	8.33	2.96	Watch
	1.24	12.5	5.03
	1.3	11	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)	10.57 ↑ (8.42)	4.28 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenix Toulouse
69.8%

Draw
8.7%

Sesvete
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

10.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

11.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenix Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenix Toulouse's performance.

Sesvete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sesvete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sesvete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fenix Toulouse - Sesvete Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenix Toulouse will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:29

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Preview

Recent performances by Toulouse have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sesvete is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sesvete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toulouse is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenix Toulouse
EHF European League
11.11.25	Sesvete - Fenix Toulouse	32:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
08.11.25	Fenix Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain	33:36 ✺
24.10.25	Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse	26:28 ✺
EHF European League
21.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Vardar	26:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
18.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Istres OPH	35:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- MRK Sesvete
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
15.11.25	Metković - Sesvete	28:32 ✺
EHF European League
11.11.25	Sesvete - Fenix Toulouse	32:31 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
08.11.25	Sesvete - Nexe	30:27 ✺
25.10.25	Dugo Selo - Sesvete	19:27 ✺
EHF European League
21.10.25	Sesvete - Kristianstad	32:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
11.11.25	Sesvete - Fenix Toulouse	32:31

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