Match Info

Starligue - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Selestat AHB		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	4.5	9.5	1.37
	4.1	11	1.32
	4.37	9.43	1.32	Watch
	3.97	11	1.34	Watch
	4.5	11	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.37)	10.39 ↑ (9.43)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selestat AHB
21.6%

Draw
8.9%

Fenix Toulouse
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

9.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

9.6%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selestat AHB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fenix Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selestat AHB than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selestat won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toulouse has had a series of home games.

In this match, Toulouse is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Selestat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 232:284. (average 23.2:28.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Selestat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 125:154. (average 20.8:25.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selestat AHB
French Starligue Handball
17.10.25	Dunkerque - Selestat AHB	26:27 ✺
12.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Selestat AHB	36:28 ✺
03.10.25	Selestat AHB - Chartres	32:36 ✺
26.09.25	USAM Nimes - Selestat AHB	29:27 ✺
19.09.25	Selestat AHB - Saint-Raphael	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLL
- Fenix Toulouse
EHF European League
21.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Vardar	26:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
18.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Istres OPH	35:23 ✺
EHF European League
14.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Kristianstad	28:30 ✺
French Starligue Handball
11.10.25	Saint-Raphael - Fenix Toulouse	33:28 ✺
03.10.25	Fenix Toulouse - Pays dAix	25:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
21.04.23	Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse	22:33
27.10.22	Fenix Toulouse - Selestat AHB	37:24
19.04.17	Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse	26:32
13.05.15	Fenix Toulouse - Selestat AHB	31:29
26.11.14	Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse	22:26
29.03.14	Selestat AHB - Fenix Toulouse	27:28
25.10.13	Fenix Toulouse - Selestat AHB	31:22

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