Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Ferndorf		HSC 2000 Coburg

	1	X	2
	1.85	7.8	2.31
	1.85	6.78	2.34	Watch
	1.85	9.1	2.3
	1.81	8.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	8.05 ↑ (6.78)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferndorf
49.3%

Draw
11.3%

HSC 2000 Coburg
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

13.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

12.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

HSC 2000 Coburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSC 2000 Coburg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 0.

In recent matches, Ferndorf has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 221:267. (average 24.6:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferndorf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 104:116. (average 26:29).

Last Results with these Odds

HSC 2000 Coburg - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
21.11.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	27:27 ✺
14.11.25	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28 ✺
09.11.25	Elbflorenz - Ferndorf	33:33 ✺
25.10.25	Ferndorf - Potsdam	30:23 ✺
19.10.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTWL
- HSC 2000 Coburg
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
21.11.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	40:28 ✺
14.11.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - HSC 2000 Coburg	30:26 ✺
08.11.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - Hüttenberg	29:28 ✺
25.10.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	30:28 ✺
19.10.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - HSC 2000 Coburg	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
30.05.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - Ferndorf	28:19
21.12.24	Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg	26:33
German DHB Pokal
24.08.24	Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg	31:35
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
07.05.22	HSC 2000 Coburg - Ferndorf	36:27
01.12.21	Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg	27:28
12.10.19	HSC 2000 Coburg - Ferndorf	29:24
18.05.19	Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg	20:20

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