Match Info

Extraliga - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Frýdek-Místek		Mesto Lovosice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	8.8	1.57
	2.98	7.81	1.56	Watch
	2.88	8.5	1.53
	2.99	9.1	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.67)	8.55 ↓ (10.08)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frýdek-Místek
31%

Draw
10.6%

Mesto Lovosice
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frýdek-Místek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mesto Lovosice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mesto Lovosice than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Frýdek Místek - Mesto Lovosice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 0.

Frýdek-Místek has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mesto Lovosice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Frýdek-Místek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mesto Lovosice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 555:656. (average 27.8:32.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Frýdek-Místek won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 282:312. (average 28.2:31.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Lovosice	5	2	1	2	159:149	5
11	Frydek-Mistek	5	1	0	4	130:156	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKP Frýdek-Místek
Czech Extraliga Handball
01.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Banik Karviná	30:36 ✺
25.03.26	Banik Karviná - Frýdek-Místek	31:25 ✺
24.03.26	Banik Karviná - Frýdek-Místek	40:33 ✺
13.03.26	Talent MAT Plzen - Frýdek-Místek	25:23 ✺
07.03.26	Frýdek-Místek - Strakonice	37:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- HK Mesto Lovosice
Czech Extraliga Handball
08.04.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	30:25 ✺
05.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	36:33 ✺
04.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	28:24 ✺
29.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	34:32 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	36:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga Handball
10.12.25	Frýdek-Místek - Mesto Lovosice	23:28
25.10.25	Mesto Lovosice - Frýdek-Místek	37:26
30.11.24	Mesto Lovosice - Frýdek-Místek	33:28
14.09.24	Frýdek-Místek - Mesto Lovosice	23:35
31.01.24	Mesto Lovosice - Frýdek-Místek	32:29
01.10.23	Frýdek-Místek - Mesto Lovosice	34:34
01.04.23	Frýdek-Místek - Mesto Lovosice	25:32

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