Match Info

Extraliga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Mesto Lovosice		Zubri

	1	X	2
	1.55	9.75	2.85
	1.53	9.2	2.95
	1.51	7.67	3.22	Watch
	1.55	9.2	3.02
	1.6	8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	8.76 ↑ (8)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mesto Lovosice
58.9%

Draw
10.4%

Zubri
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

11.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

10.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mesto Lovosice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zubri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mesto Lovosice than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zubri than the current prediction. (+3%)

Mesto Lovosice - Zubri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Zubri leads series 2-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mesto Lovosice won 2.

Recent performances by Mesto Lovosice have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zubri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mesto Lovosice could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mesto Lovosice won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 642:610. (average 32.1:30.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mesto Lovosice won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 334:295. (average 33.4:29.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Zubri	5	4	0	1	153:131	8
6	Lovosice	5	2	1	2	159:149	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mesto Lovosice
Czech Extraliga Handball
04.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	28:24 ✺
29.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	34:32 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	36:28 ✺
14.03.26	Mesto Lovosice - Brno	38:22 ✺
03.03.26	Banik Karviná - Mesto Lovosice	29:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL
- HC Zubri
Czech Extraliga Handball
04.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	28:24 ✺
29.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	34:32 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	36:28 ✺
14.03.26	KH Koprivnice - Zubri	32:35 ✺
07.03.26	Zubri - Ronal Jicin	40:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga Handball
04.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	28:24
29.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	34:32 penalties
28.03.26	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	36:28
Czech Cup Handball
17.12.25	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	33:26
Czech Extraliga Handball
29.11.25	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	38:35
06.09.25	Mesto Lovosice - Zubri	33:31
14.12.24	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	29:25

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