Match Info

DENMARK: Herre Handbold Ligaen - Round 4

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Middelfart Sparekasse Arena (Fredericia)


	Fredericia		KIF Kolding

	1	X	2
	1.37	9.5	4.25
	1.33	11.5	4.2
	1.33	10	4.3
	1.37	9.5	4.25	Watch
	1.3	10	4.2
	1.37	9.3	4.17
	1.33	10	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)	9.97 ↑ (9.31)	4.24 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
68.9%

Draw
9.3%

KIF Kolding
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

9.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

8.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

KIF Kolding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fredericia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KIF Kolding than the current prediction. (+3%)

Fredericia - KIF Kolding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Lineups


31. Andersson Moberg W.	27. Bertelsen S. R.
13. Balstad L.	12. Cavar J.
9. Bisgaard M.	22. Frederik B.
1. Frandsen S.	13. Hedegaard M.
14. Jaegerum F.	20. Klinge D.
12. Jensen R.	28. Leger L.
15. Kjeldgaard Andersen M.	10. Mailand M.
3. Kristensen J.	29. Nevers V.
93. Martinusen A.	5. Norlyk O.
8. Moller M. E.	18. Pedersen B.
20. Mossestad F.	24. Silva D.
23. Olafsson E.	4. Skaarup L.
41. Pevnov E.	21. Stoklund K.
97. Taboada R.	15. Svane J.
17. Vidarsson A.	1. Tellerup E.
7. Young K.	2. Thomsen M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 4.

Fredericia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KIF Kolding is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KIF Kolding could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fredericia have a series of home games.

In this match Fredericia is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 323-320.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 178-175.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredericia Håndbold
EHF Champions League
26.09.24	Fredericia - Füchse Berlin	32:38 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
21.09.24	Fredericia - Aalborg	26:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.09.24	Fredericia - Sporting Lisbon	19:37 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
15.09.24	Fredericia - Skjern	29:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.09.24	Dinamo Bucureşti - Fredericia	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- KIF Kolding
Danish Handbold Ligaen
19.09.24	KIF Kolding - Ringsted	31:31 ✺
12.09.24	Ribe-Esbjerg - KIF Kolding	27:33 ✺
05.09.24	KIF Kolding - Nordsjælland	30:28 ✺
Danish Cup Handball
28.08.24	KIF Kolding - Bjerringbro SV	23:30 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
18.08.24	Ribe-Esbjerg - KIF Kolding	21:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
21.02.24	KIF Kolding - Fredericia	26:27
11.10.23	Fredericia - KIF Kolding	32:31
29.03.23	KIF Kolding - Fredericia	35:31
12.11.22	Fredericia - KIF Kolding	28:25
27.12.21	KIF Kolding - Fredericia	27:31
17.11.21	Fredericia - KIF Kolding	35:33
Danish Cup Handball
26.08.21	Fredericia - KIF Kolding	26:23

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