Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Freiburg		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.11	7	2.07
	2.12	6.68	2.1
	2.12	8.4	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.67)	7.36 ↓ (14.44)	2.05 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
43.1%

Draw
12.4%

Werder Bremen
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

6.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

5.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Werder Bremen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Freiburg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Werder has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Freiburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 130:141. (average 26:28.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:54. (average 29:27).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	HSG Freiburg W	4	1	0	3	112:136	2
12	Werder Bremen W	5	1	0	4	146:169	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Freiburg
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
18.04.26	Rostocker - Freiburg	32:36 ✺
04.04.26	Kirchhof - Freiburg	20:31 ✺
28.03.26	Freiburg - Mainz	36:30 ✺
21.03.26	Lintfort - Freiburg	20:28 ✺
28.02.26	Freiburg - Bergischer	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW
- Werder Bremen Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
18.04.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	30:32 ✺
05.04.26	Lintfort - Werder Bremen	32:37 ✺
28.03.26	Werder Bremen - Bergischer	30:30 ✺
21.03.26	Füchse Berlin - Werder Bremen	28:26 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	22:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
20.12.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	23:23
16.03.24	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	26:20
28.10.23	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	32:24
08.05.21	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	38:29
16.01.21	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	26:30

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