Match Info

European League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arena Svendborg (Svendborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay


	GOG		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.35	9	3.8
	1.42	11.5	3.5
	1.37	10	3.7
	1.38	9.75	4.06	Watch
	1.3	13	3.75
	1.42	9.5	3.76
	1.37	10	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)	10.39 ↓ (10.51)	3.75 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOG
66.8%

Draw
8.8%

Benfica
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

8.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

8.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GOG than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

GOG - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. GOG will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Lineups


23. Als J.	27. Baptista R.
43. Andersen E.	22. Borges A.
64. Boutaf S.	99. Cabral G.
15. Grondahl T.	41. Capdeville G.
9. Jakobsen H.	5. Cavalcanti G.
12. Johannesson P.	20. Franca Silva F.
21. Kildelund K.	30. Grigoras D.
66. Lindskog A.	77. Hanusz E.
29. Lykke H.	4. Hedberg C.
10. Pedersen F.	24. Izquierdo A.
4. Pedersen K.	23. Rahmel O.
3. Pedersen N.	2. Sanchez-Migallon M.
37. Persson L.	12. Simao de Almeida B.
19. Rasmussen O.	28. Taleski F.
8. Tilsted F.	7. Valencia S. T.
7. Vilhelmsen L. S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 31-33.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

GOG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match GOG is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches GOG won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 103:96 (average 34.3:32).

Including matches at home between the teams GOG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 39:38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GOG Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
28.03.25	Ribe-Esbjerg - GOG	32:30 ✺
EHF European League
25.03.25	Benfica - GOG	33:31 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
22.03.25	GOG - Nordsjælland	35:32 ✺
08.03.25	Sønderjysk Elite - GOG	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	GOG - BM Granollers	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWTW
- Benfica Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
29.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	34:30 ✺
EHF European League
25.03.25	Benfica - GOG	33:31 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
22.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	41:36 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	Benfica - Bidasoa Irun	33:30 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.02.25	ABC Braga - Benfica	34:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
25.03.25	Benfica - GOG	33:31
01.03.22	GOG - Benfica	39:38
23.11.21	Benfica - GOG	25:33

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