Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	GWD Minden		Gummersbach

	1	X	2
	8	13	1.18
	5.4	12	1.2
	6.77	8.87	1.21	Watch
	5.24	12.7	1.24	Watch
	5.8	14	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↑ (4.57)	12.11 ↑ (10.07)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GWD Minden
15%

Draw
7.7%

Gummersbach
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

9.2%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

9.1%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GWD Minden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GWD Minden's form might have worsened.

Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gummersbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GWD Minden than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GWD Minden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gummersbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

GWD Minden - Gummersbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Gummersbach will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minden won 3.

Minden has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gummersbach is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Gummersbach is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Minden won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 420:404. (average 28:26.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Minden won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 241:223. (average 30.1:27.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GWD Minden
German Bundesliga Handball
13.09.25	Bergischer - GWD Minden	23:30 ✺
08.09.25	GWD Minden - Flensburg-Handewitt	27:40 ✺
03.09.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - GWD Minden	28:24 ✺
31.08.25	GWD Minden - Frisch Auf Göppingen	28:28 ✺
German DHB Pokal
16.08.25	Krefeld - GWD Minden	29:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTW
- VfL Gummersbach
German Bundesliga Handball
14.09.25	Gummersbach - Füchse Berlin	34:29 ✺
07.09.25	TBV Lemgo - Gummersbach	31:25 ✺
04.09.25	Gummersbach - MT Melsungen	29:28 ✺
27.08.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - Gummersbach	26:29 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
15.08.25	Sloga Doboj - Gummersbach	20:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
11.06.23	GWD Minden - Gummersbach	38:38
27.10.22	Gummersbach - GWD Minden	26:22
17.03.19	Gummersbach - GWD Minden	20:25
02.12.18	GWD Minden - Gummersbach	40:28
Club Friendly Hanbdall
10.08.18	GWD Minden - Gummersbach	29:27
German Bundesliga Handball
26.04.18	Gummersbach - GWD Minden	22:24
02.11.17	GWD Minden - Gummersbach	29:24

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