Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Gummersbach		MT Melsungen

	1	X	2
	1.67	8.00	3.00
	1.62	7.25	2.80
	1.58	8.00	2.95
	1.65	7.78	2.8	Watch
	1.62	8.00	2.80
	1.64	9.10	2.77
	1.65	8.40	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	8.08 ↑ (7.35)	2.86 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gummersbach
56.4%

Draw
11.4%

MT Melsungen
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

12.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

11.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gummersbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Gummersbach - MT Melsungen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gummersbach won 3.

In recent matches, Gummersbach has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melsungen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Melsungen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gummersbach will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gummersbach won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 536:562. (average 26.8:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gummersbach won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 269:278. (average 26.9:27.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

MT Melsungen: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	MT Melsungen	7	4	1	2	218:195	9
9	Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221:215	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Gummersbach
German Bundesliga Handball
02.09.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Gummersbach	26:31 ✺
30.08.26	Gummersbach - Magdeburg	31:33 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
23.08.26	Gummersbach - Wisła Płock	24:24 ✺
21.08.26	Montpellier HB - Gummersbach	32:27 ✺
02.08.26	Bergischer - Gummersbach	30:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLW
- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
02.09.26	MT Melsungen - Frisch Auf Göppingen	31:18 ✺
27.08.26	Füchse Berlin - MT Melsungen	33:31 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
15.08.26	MT Melsungen - Sporting Lisbon	28:26
13.08.26	Al Ahly Cairo - MT Melsungen	14:25 ✺
12.08.26	MT Melsungen - Sloga Doboj	44:26
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
13.03.26	MT Melsungen - Gummersbach	24:31
04.09.25	Gummersbach - MT Melsungen	29:28
19.04.25	MT Melsungen - Gummersbach	26:25
EHF European League
01.04.25	MT Melsungen - Gummersbach	29:25
25.03.25	Gummersbach - MT Melsungen	29:26
German Bundesliga Handball
16.12.24	Gummersbach - MT Melsungen	24:29
20.12.23	MT Melsungen - Gummersbach	26:25

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