Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	GWD Minden		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	3.5	8.5	1.5
	2.95	9.4	1.53
	4.16	8.17	1.37	Watch
	3.2	8.5	1.44
	3.35	8.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.8)	8.55 ↓ (9.75)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GWD Minden
26.8%

Draw
10.7%

HSV Hamburg
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

9.4%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

9.4%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GWD Minden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GWD Minden's form might have worsened.

HSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GWD Minden than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GWD Minden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

GWD Minden - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minden won 0.

Minden has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hamburg is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Minden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 327:369. (average 27.3:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Minden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 140:159. (average 28:31.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
15	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220:229	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GWD Minden
German Bundesliga Handball
27.03.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - GWD Minden	35:31 ✺
14.03.26	GWD Minden - HSG Wetzlar	31:33 ✺
08.03.26	Erlangen - GWD Minden	36:31 ✺
01.03.26	GWD Minden - Stuttgart	32:32 ✺
22.02.26	Magdeburg - GWD Minden	38:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
26.03.26	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	34:35 ✺
13.03.26	Hannover-Burgdorf - HSV Hamburg	35:37 ✺
26.02.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	39:32 ✺
22.02.26	HSV Hamburg - MT Melsungen	25:23 ✺
15.02.26	HSV Hamburg - Flensburg-Handewitt	35:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
14.12.25	HSV Hamburg - GWD Minden	32:26
03.05.23	GWD Minden - HSV Hamburg	31:35
11.09.22	HSV Hamburg - GWD Minden	27:21
27.03.22	GWD Minden - HSV Hamburg	23:27
17.10.21	HSV Hamburg - GWD Minden	31:27
German DHB Pokal
18.08.18	HSV Hamburg - GWD Minden	24:37
German Bundesliga Handball
22.04.15	HSV Hamburg - GWD Minden	28:25

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