Match Info

EHF Euro - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Referee: Sok D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Voyo
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Oneplay
France	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	M4 Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	Eurosport 1, TVP Sport
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Germany		Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.4	9.5	4.25	Watch
	1.39	9.8	3.6	Watch
	1.39	8.79	4.34	Watch
	1.36	9.5	4
	1.4	9.8	3.75
	1.38	10	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)	9.57 ↑ (8.9)	4.02 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
67.1%

Draw
9.7%

Croatia
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

10.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

9.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germany's performance.

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Croatia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Croatia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	7.4%	33.3%

Germany - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Croatia will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Croatia (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Croatia (3.15) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Croatia (2.21) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Croatia (2.58) (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.10) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Croatia (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Lineups


34. Dahmke R.	14. Cesko D.
54. Fischer J.	33. Cindric L.
4. Golla J.	57. Glavas F.
71. Grgic M.	62. Jelinic M.
15. Knorr J.	9. Klarica L.
80. Kohlbacher J.	1. Kuzmanovic D.
18. Koster J.	41. Lucin T.
13. Langhoff M.	30. Mamic M.
3. Lichtlein N.	39. Mandic D.
36. Mertens L.	12. Mandic M.
5. Schluroff M.	20. Maras M.
32. Semper F.	51. Martinovic I.
1. Spath D.	93. Nacinovic V.
23. Uscins R.	23. Rauzan Z.
33. Wolff A.	6. Sostaric M.
17. Zerbe L.	52. Susnja L.
Coaches
. Gislason A.	. Sigurdsson D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Croatia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Germany is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Germany will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Germany won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 292:293. (average 26.5:26.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany handball
Handball European Championship
28.01.26	Germany - France	38:34 ✺
26.01.26	Germany - Denmark	26:31 ✺
24.01.26	Germany - Norway	30:28 ✺
22.01.26	Germany - Portugal	32:30 ✺
19.01.26	Germany - Spain	34:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Croatia handball
Handball European Championship
28.01.26	Croatia - Hungary	27:25 ✺
27.01.26	Slovenia - Croatia	25:29 ✺
25.01.26	Switzerland - Croatia	24:28 ✺
23.01.26	Iceland - Croatia	29:30 ✺
21.01.26	Sweden - Croatia	33:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Handball
11.01.26	Germany - Croatia	33:27
08.01.26	Croatia - Germany	29:32
Olympic Games - Handball
31.07.24	Croatia - Germany	31:26
16.03.24	Germany - Croatia	30:33
Handball European Championship
24.01.24	Germany - Croatia	24:30
18.01.20	Croatia - Germany	25:24
Friendly International Handball
26.10.19	Germany - Croatia	24:23

Germany - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide