Match Info

EHF Euro

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	ARD, Sportschau
Hungary	M4 Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	RTP 2
Sweden	Viaplay


	Germany		Portugal

	1	X	2
	1.95	8	2.3	Watch
	1.87	8.5	2.4
	1.88	7.8	2.28	Watch
	2.03	7.29	2.3	Watch
	1.91	8	2.38
	1.97	8.7	2.14	Watch
	1.92	8.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	8.11 ↓ (8.18)	2.31 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
48.2%

Draw
11.5%

Portugal
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

11.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

11.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germany than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Germany - Portugal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 61.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Germany will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Germany will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


34. Dahmke R.	25. Areia A.
54. Fischer J.	86. Brandao R.
4. Golla J.	23. Branquinho D.
71. Grgic M.	41. Capdeville G.
30. Kiesler T.	95. Cavalcanti G.
15. Knorr J.	26. Costa F.
18. Koster J.	79. Costa M.
13. Langhoff M.	21. Fernandes L.
3. Lichtlein N.	29. Ferreira J.
36. Mertens L.	82. Frade L.
5. Schluroff M.	66. Gomes J.
32. Semper F.	9. Graca F.
1. Spath D.	20. Neves M.
23. Uscins R.	13. Rocha S.
33. Wolff A.	14. Sousa R.
17. Zerbe L.	96. Tonicher P.
Coaches
. Gislason A.	. Pereira P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 3.

Germany is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Portugal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Germany won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 252:232. (average 31.5:29).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany handball
Handball European Championship
19.01.26	Germany - Spain	34:32 ✺
17.01.26	Serbia - Germany	30:27 ✺
15.01.26	Germany - Austria	30:27 ✺
Friendly International Handball
11.01.26	Germany - Croatia	33:27 ✺
08.01.26	Croatia - Germany	29:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Portugal handball
Handball European Championship
20.01.26	Denmark - Portugal	29:31 ✺
18.01.26	North Macedonia - Portugal	29:29 ✺
16.01.26	Portugal - Romania	40:34 ✺
Friendly International Handball
11.01.26	Spain - Portugal	31:34 ✺
09.01.26	Portugal - Iran	41:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball World Championship
29.01.25	Portugal - Germany	31:30 OT
Friendly International Handball
06.01.24	Germany - Portugal	35:31
04.01.24	Germany - Portugal	34:33
07.11.21	Germany - Portugal	30:32
05.11.21	Germany - Portugal	30:28
Handball European Championship
25.01.20	Germany - Portugal	29:27
14.06.17	Portugal - Germany	26:29

Germany - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide