Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Gorenje Velenje		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	1.57	9.5	2.8	Watch
	1.5	10.5	2.95
				Watch
	1.62	9.4	2.47
	1.55	8.5	2.88
	1.62	9.2	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.35)	9.42 ↓ (10.38)	2.78 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
57.7%

Draw
9.6%

AEK Athens
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

8.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

8.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorenje Velenje's form might have worsened.

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorenje Velenje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Athens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Gorenje Velenje - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Gorenje will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). AEK will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 74.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 29-31.

Gorenje Velenje is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AEK is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gorenje Velenje will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gorenje Velenje to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gorenje Velenje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
EHF European Cup
17.04.21	AEK Athens - Gorenje Velenje	31:29 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
14.04.21	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Gorenje Velenje	23:25 ✺
31.03.21	Gorenje Velenje - Ribnica	30:29 ✺
EHF European Cup
27.03.21	Gorenje Velenje - Zubri	28:24 ✺
20.03.21	Zubri - Gorenje Velenje	26:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- AEK Athens HC
EHF European Cup
17.04.21	AEK Athens - Gorenje Velenje	31:29 ✺
Greek A1 Handball
10.04.21	AEK Athens - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	32:22 ✺
06.04.21	Diomidis Argous - AEK Athens	27:27 ✺
EHF European Cup
26.03.21	AEK Athens - Zenit Saint Petersburg	29:27 ✺
25.03.21	Zenit Saint Petersburg - AEK Athens	21:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup
17.04.21	AEK Athens - Gorenje Velenje	31:29

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