Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Red Hall (Velenje)


	Gorenje Velenje		Slovenj Gradec

	1	X	2
	2.90	8.00	1.57
	2.16	6.74	2.03	Watch
	2.70	8.90	1.66
	2.85	8.20	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.26)	7.96 ↓ (9.08)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
34.7%

Draw
11.6%

Slovenj Gradec
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

10%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorenje Velenje's form might have worsened.

Slovenj Gradec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorenje won 2.

Gorenje has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Slovenj Gradec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Gorenje has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 535:486 (averaging 29.7:27 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gorenje against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 253:226 goals (averaging 31.6:28.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Gorenje	6	4	0	2	174:166	8
7	Slovenj Gradec	6	2	2	2	174:168	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
16.09.26	Ribnica - Gorenje Velenje	28:29 ✺
EHF European Cup
13.09.26	Parnassos Strovolou - Gorenje Velenje	24:33
12.09.26	Gorenje Velenje - Parnassos Strovolou	38:18
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
05.09.26	Gorenje Velenje - Ajdovščina	35:27 ✺
02.09.26	Krka - Gorenje Velenje	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL
- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
12.09.26	Slovenj Gradec - Slovan Ljubljana	23:28 ✺
05.09.26	Trimo Trebnje - Slovenj Gradec	32:32 ✺
02.09.26	Slovenj Gradec - Škofljica	34:24 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
05.08.26	PPD Zagreb - Slovenj Gradec	34:27 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
27.05.26	Trimo Trebnje - Slovenj Gradec	36:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
24.04.26	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	29:34
28.03.26	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	26:21
13.12.25	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	26:30
26.09.25	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	35:31
07.03.25	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	29:30
Slovenian Cup Handball
04.12.24	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	24:29
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
16.11.24	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	25:32

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