Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Hall (Velenje)


	Gorenje Velenje		Trimo Trebnje

	1	X	2
	2.16	7	2.03
				Watch
	2.06	8.9	1.96
	2	7.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.74)	7.8 ↓ (8.15)	2.03 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
43.7%

Draw
11.6%

Trimo Trebnje
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

11.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

10.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorenje Velenje's form might have worsened.

Trimo Trebnje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trimo Trebnje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trimo Trebnje than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trimo Trebnje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorenje won 2.

Gorenje has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trimo Trebnje is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gorenje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gorenje could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gorenje won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 376:372. (average 26.9:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorenje won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 197:192. (average 28.1:27.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
01.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Gorenje Velenje	31:27 ✺
26.09.25	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	35:31 ✺
20.09.25	Škofja Loka - Gorenje Velenje	25:20 ✺
14.09.25	Gorenje Velenje - Ivančna Gorica	27:27 ✺
10.09.25	Krka - Gorenje Velenje	29:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLTT
- RK Trimo Trebnje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
01.10.25	Trimo Trebnje - Celje Pivovarna Laško	34:33 ✺
27.09.25	Jeruzalem Ormož - Trimo Trebnje	20:28 ✺
20.09.25	Trimo Trebnje - Škofljica	36:26 ✺
13.09.25	Radovljica - Trimo Trebnje	29:31 ✺
05.09.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Trimo Trebnje	33:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.12.24	Trimo Trebnje - Gorenje Velenje	27:24
27.09.24	Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje	23:28
09.02.24	Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje	23:23
17.09.23	Trimo Trebnje - Gorenje Velenje	22:24
14.05.23	Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje	30:26
30.11.22	Trimo Trebnje - Gorenje Velenje	27:32
24.05.22	Gorenje Velenje - Trimo Trebnje	29:27

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