Match Info

Aktialiiga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Grankulla IFK		Riihimäki Cocks

	1	X	2
	4.1	10	1.31
	2.28	8.66	1.84	Watch
	4.24	10.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.1)	9.62 ↑ (8.95)	1.49 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grankulla IFK
26.7%

Draw
9.8%

Riihimäki Cocks
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

10.2%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

9.9%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grankulla IFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Riihimäki Cocks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riihimäki Cocks than the current prediction. (+2%)

Grankulla IFK - Riihimäki Cocks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:30

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GrIFK won 1.

Recent performances by GrIFK have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cocks is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cocks is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, GrIFK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 493:605. (average 24.7:30.3).

Including home matches between the teams, GrIFK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 229:267. (average 25.4:29.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Cocks	4	2	0	2	130:112	4
7	GrIFK	5	1	0	4	132:143	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grankulla IFK Handball
Finnish Liiga Handball
14.04.26	BK-46 - Grankulla IFK	36:27 ✺
11.04.26	Grankulla IFK - BK-46	21:29 ✺
07.04.26	BK-46 - Grankulla IFK	32:25 ✺
28.03.26	Grankulla IFK - Dicken	20:19 ✺
25.03.26	Dicken - Grankulla IFK	20:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLLWW
- Riihimäki Cocks
Finnish Liiga Handball
14.04.26	HIFK - Riihimäki Cocks	34:32 ✺
11.04.26	Riihimäki Cocks - HIFK	28:34 ✺
08.04.26	HIFK - Riihimäki Cocks	37:35 ✺
04.04.26	Riihimäki Cocks - Sjundeå IF	31:30 OT ✺
01.04.26	Sjundeå IF - Riihimäki Cocks	31:30 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Liiga Handball
10.03.26	Riihimäki Cocks - Grankulla IFK	39:24
28.01.26	Grankulla IFK - Riihimäki Cocks	20:30
05.12.25	Riihimäki Cocks - Grankulla IFK	33:14
18.10.25	Grankulla IFK - Riihimäki Cocks	29:25
02.04.25	Riihimäki Cocks - Grankulla IFK	30:25
29.03.25	Grankulla IFK - Riihimäki Cocks	24:27
27.03.25	Riihimäki Cocks - Grankulla IFK	28:22

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