Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Gummersbach		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	1.35	10	4.75
	1.41	9.2	3.55
	1.36	8.2	4.24	Watch
	1.33	9	4
	1.35	10.2	4.08	Watch
	1.35	11	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	9.6 ↓ (9.7)	4.16 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gummersbach
68.1%

Draw
9.6%

HSV Hamburg
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

9.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

9.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gummersbach will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gummersbach (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30

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Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gummersbach won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gummersbach is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gummersbach won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 503:534. (average 26.5:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gummersbach won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 247:256. (average 27.4:28.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Gummersbach
German Bundesliga Handball
21.12.25	Stuttgart - Gummersbach	22:28 ✺
14.12.25	Gummersbach - Magdeburg	31:32 ✺
11.12.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Gummersbach	34:32 ✺
05.12.25	Gummersbach - Bergischer	29:29 ✺
29.11.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Gummersbach	37:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTT
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
23.12.25	HSV Hamburg - Füchse Berlin	28:36 ✺
21.12.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - HSV Hamburg	35:29 ✺
14.12.25	HSV Hamburg - GWD Minden	32:26 ✺
10.12.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - HSV Hamburg	29:27 ✺
07.12.25	HSV Hamburg - Eisenach	32:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
19.10.25	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	31:30
27.02.25	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	30:37
03.11.24	Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg	33:29
21.04.24	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	33:32
07.12.23	Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg	24:23
27.12.22	Gummersbach - HSV Hamburg	31:30
23.10.22	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	34:31

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