Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	HSV Hamburg		Eisenach

	1	X	2
	1.45	8.5	3.8
	1.39	9.8	3.55
	1.12	11.78	8.84	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.5
	1.4	10.5	3.67
	1.44	9.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)	9.76 ↑ (8.45)	4.53 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hamburg
69.4%

Draw
9.7%

Eisenach
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

11%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

11%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HSV Hamburg's performance.

Eisenach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eisenach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HSV Hamburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eisenach than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eisenach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

HSV Hamburg - Eisenach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 4.

Recent performances by Hamburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eisenach has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eisenach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hamburg is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 351:311. (average 31.9:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 190:161. (average 31.7:26.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
30.11.25	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	35:32 ✺
23.11.25	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	34:26 ✺
13.11.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - HSV Hamburg	34:30 ✺
09.11.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - HSV Hamburg	33:29 ✺
26.10.25	Füchse Berlin - HSV Hamburg	38:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWLLW
- Eisenach Handball
German Bundesliga Handball
28.11.25	Eisenach - THW Kiel	27:27 ✺
21.11.25	TBV Lemgo - Eisenach	28:19 ✺
13.11.25	Eisenach - Stuttgart	28:24 ✺
08.11.25	Erlangen - Eisenach	24:23 ✺
German DHB Pokal
06.11.25	Füchse Berlin - Eisenach	38:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
28.05.25	HSV Hamburg - Eisenach	31:29
26.12.24	Eisenach - HSV Hamburg	32:31
29.05.24	HSV Hamburg - Eisenach	33:29
German DHB Pokal
12.12.23	HSV Hamburg - Eisenach	31:28
German Bundesliga Handball
20.10.23	Eisenach - HSV Hamburg	28:32
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
28.05.21	HSV Hamburg - Eisenach	31:29
26.12.20	Eisenach - HSV Hamburg	24:30

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