The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HSG Wetzlar 25.1%
Draw 9.8%
MT Melsungen 65.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.4%
9.3%
69.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
8.5%
72%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HSG Wetzlar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Wetzlar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HSG Wetzlar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MT Melsungen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
HSG Wetzlar - MT Melsungen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga and 5th in the Promotion - European League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 0.
Wetzlar is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Melsungen shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Melsungen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Melsungen is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wetzlar has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 519:578 (averaging 26:28.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wetzlar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 296:330 goals (averaging 26.9:30 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
5
MT Melsungen
10
6
1
3
310:280
13
18
HSG Wetzlar
10
0
2
8
302:339
2
Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now
MT Melsungen: 1.69% HSG Wetzlar: 0.85%
Last Results with these Odds
HSG Wetzlar - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.