Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaulieu (Nantes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	HBC Nantes		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	3.4	9	1.52	Watch
	3.6	10	1.45
	3.05	9.4	1.5	Watch
	3.7	8.26	1.49	Watch
	3.2	8.5	1.44
	3.22	9.7	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.11)	9.14 ↓ (10.22)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBC Nantes
27.7%

Draw
10.2%

Barcelona
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

9.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

8.7%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

HBC Nantes - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Lineups


18. Abdi A.	83. Barrufet I.
9. Avelange T.	9. Carlsbogard J.
16. Biosca I.	11. Cikusa D.
13. Bos J.	88. Cikusa P.
3. Briet T.	72. Fabregas L.
2. Lagarde R.	6. Fernandez D.
17. Leopold N.	82. Frade L.
4. Minne A.	20. Gomez A.
8. Nyateu O.	1. Hallgrimsson V.
19. Odriozola K.	18. Janc B.
10. Ovnicek R.	35. Makuc D.
1. Pesic I.	10. Mem D.
7. Rivera V.	19. N'guessan T.
6. Tarrafeta I.	12. Nielsen E.
11. Tournat N.	23. Sola Basterra A.
5. Yoshida S.	45. Yehia M.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.

We predict that Barcelona will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 340:376. (average 28.3:31.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 175:185. (average 29.2:30.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
24.04.26	Istres OPH - HBC Nantes	31:40 ✺
19.04.26	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	35:32 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	USAM Nimes - HBC Nantes	30:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
12.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	25:30 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.04.26	HBC Nantes - GOG	40:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW
- Barcelona Handball
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.04.26	Barcelona - BM Huesca	42:25 ✺
17.04.26	Nava - Barcelona	24:42 ✺
15.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Barcelona	23:52 ✺
10.04.26	Barcelona - Reale Ademar	48:31 ✺
04.04.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Barcelona	23:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
15.06.25	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	30:25
21.11.24	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	36:30
31.10.24	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	31:31
15.12.22	HBC Nantes - Barcelona	33:37
03.11.22	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	34:29
12.06.21	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	31:26
17.02.21	Barcelona - HBC Nantes	30:29

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