Match Info

Starligue - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	HBC Nantes		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.09	16	12
	1.11	13.50	9.25
	1.11	14	8.75
	1.1	13.5	9.1	Watch
	1.1	15	8.8	Watch
	1.09	21	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)	15.5 ↑ (12.91)	9.82 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBC Nantes
84.5%

Draw
6%

Fenix Toulouse
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4.

Nantes is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Toulouse could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Nantes as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nantes has recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 622:561 (averaging 31.1:28.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nantes against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 313:275 goals (averaging 31.3:27.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Nantes	6	5	0	1	210:172	10
10	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	198:202	6

Outrights of French Starligue Handball for now

Nantes: 6.04% Toulouse: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
20.09.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:36 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.09.26	Vardar - HBC Nantes	32:33 ✺
French Starligue Handball
12.09.26	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	38:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
09.09.26	HBC Nantes - Wisła Płock	26:25 ✺
French Starligue Handball
05.09.26	Tremblay - HBC Nantes	28:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
17.09.26	Fenix Toulouse - Selestat AHB	24:25 ✺
11.09.26	Fenix Toulouse - Caen	31:32 ✺
05.09.26	Saran Loiret - Fenix Toulouse	27:25 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
13.08.26	Torrelavega - Fenix Toulouse	25:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
06.06.26	Fenix Toulouse - Cesson Rennes Métropole	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
12.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	25:30
14.09.25	HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse	28:22
06.04.25	HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse	34:29
22.09.24	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	35:29
24.03.24	HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse	40:30
Coupe de France Handball
21.03.24	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	26:28
French Starligue Handball
22.09.23	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	24:34

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