Match Info

Starligue - Round 27

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Fenix Toulouse		Saint-Raphael

	1	X	2
	1.65	8	3
	1.55	8.6	2.95	Watch
	1.57	7.8	3.06	Watch
	1.5	8	3
	1.6	9.3	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	8.34 ↓ (8.79)	2.97 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenix Toulouse
58.2%

Draw
11%

Saint-Raphael
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

10.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

11.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Saint-Raphael has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Raphael than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Fenix Toulouse - Saint Raphael Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toulouse might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 600:626. (average 30:31.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 287:274. (average 31.9:30.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	St. Raphael	6	2	0	4	176:190	4
13	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140:141	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
01.05.26	Fenix Toulouse - Tremblay	40:35 ✺
25.04.26	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	28:39 ✺
17.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - Dijon	27:24 ✺
12.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	25:30 ✺
03.04.26	Chartres - Fenix Toulouse	33:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL
- Saint-Raphael Var HB
French Starligue Handball
01.05.26	Dunkerque - Saint-Raphael	22:32 ✺
26.04.26	Saint-Raphael - Selestat AHB	31:28 ✺
17.04.26	Pays dAix - Saint-Raphael	26:31 ✺
12.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Raphael	36:34 ✺
05.04.26	Saint-Raphael - Chambery SH	33:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
11.10.25	Saint-Raphael - Fenix Toulouse	33:28
24.05.25	Saint-Raphael - Fenix Toulouse	36:26
02.11.24	Fenix Toulouse - Saint-Raphael	27:36
17.04.24	Saint-Raphael - Fenix Toulouse	30:30
26.10.23	Fenix Toulouse - Saint-Raphael	34:29
05.05.23	Fenix Toulouse - Saint-Raphael	33:32
20.11.22	Saint-Raphael - Fenix Toulouse	36:33

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