Match Info

Champions League

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaulieu (Nantes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1


	HBC Nantes		Vive Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.5	9	3.5	Watch
	1.42	10	3.4	Watch
	1.42	8.63	4.1	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.4
	1.51	10.9	3.49	Watch
	1.46	11	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	9.67 ↑ (9.25)	3.57 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBC Nantes
64.2%

Draw
9.6%

Vive Kielce
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

10.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

10.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Vive Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

HBC Nantes - Vive Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kielce (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Lineups


18. Abdi A.	10. Dujshebaev A.
9. Avelange T.	24. Dujshebaev D.
16. Biosca I.	22. Ferlin K.
13. Bos J.	98. Jarosiewicz P.
26. Henry S.	4. Jedraszczyk P.
4. Minne A.	50. Karalek A.
17. Noam L.	15. Maqueda J.
19. Odriozola K.	97. Monar T.
10. Ovnicek R.	1. Morawski A.
1. Pesic I.	23. Moryto A.
7. Rivera V.	99. Nahi D.
6. Tarrafeta I.	93. Rogulski L.
11. Tournat N.	9. Sicko S.
28. Wenkegheu A.	88. Vlah A.
5. Yoshida S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.

Recent performances by Nantes have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kielce is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nantes is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 207:204. (average 29.6:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 77:78. (average 25.7:26).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
29.11.25	Dunkerque - HBC Nantes	30:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
26.11.25	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	31:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
23.11.25	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	34:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
20.11.25	Dinamo Bucureşti - HBC Nantes	29:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
16.11.25	HBC Nantes - Chartres	40:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLW
- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
29.11.25	Vive Kielce - Stal Mielec	41:25 ✺
EHF Champions League
26.11.25	Vive Kielce - Dinamo Bucureşti	34:32 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
23.11.25	Legionowo - Vive Kielce	21:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.11.25	Aalborg - Vive Kielce	34:27 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
15.11.25	Vive Kielce - Puławy	49:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
15.10.25	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	27:35
26.02.25	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	28:28
18.09.24	HBC Nantes - Vive Kielce	23:20
23.02.23	HBC Nantes - Vive Kielce	30:33
14.09.22	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	40:33
07.04.21	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	31:34
31.03.21	HBC Nantes - Vive Kielce	24:25

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