Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	HRK Karlovac		Umag

	1	X	2
	1.68	7.8	2.46
	1.55	8.5	2.87
	1.62	8.3	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.36)	8.2 ↓ (8.5)	2.75 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HRK Karlovac
56%

Draw
11%

Umag
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

10.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

10%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HRK Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HRK Karlovac's form might have worsened.

Umag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umag's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HRK Karlovac than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HRK Karlovac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umag than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

HRK Karlovac - Umag Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karlovac will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Umag will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Umag have a series of guest games.

In this match Karlovac is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlovac won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 133-141.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlovac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 49-52.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HRK Karlovac
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
21.11.21	Rudar Rude - HRK Karlovac	26:24 ✺
13.11.21	HRK Karlovac - Spačva Vinkovci	30:36 ✺
30.10.21	Porec - HRK Karlovac	27:25 ✺
24.10.21	Gorica - HRK Karlovac	35:24 ✺
16.10.21	HRK Karlovac - Dubrava	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW
- RK Umag
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
20.11.21	PPD Zagreb - Umag	33:23
13.11.21	Umag - Rudar Rude	30:26 ✺
30.10.21	Spačva Vinkovci - Umag	35:33 ✺
23.10.21	Porec - Umag	26:19 ✺
09.10.21	Dubrava - Umag	27:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
02.10.21	Umag - HRK Karlovac	36:34
28.04.18	HRK Karlovac - Umag	25:29
24.03.18	Umag - HRK Karlovac	26:26
17.02.18	Umag - HRK Karlovac	27:24
21.10.17	HRK Karlovac - Umag	24:23

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