Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	HSG Wetzlar		TBV Lemgo

	1	X	2
	3	8	1.67
	3.2	8.75	1.59
	3	8	1.56
	2.78	6.57	1.74	Watch
	2.91	9.7	1.59
	2.9	8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (1.88)	8.17 ↑ (7.57)	1.64 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Wetzlar
31.6%

Draw
11.5%

TBV Lemgo
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

12.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

12.2%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Wetzlar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSG Wetzlar's form might have worsened.

TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TBV Lemgo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Wetzlar than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSG Wetzlar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TBV Lemgo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HSG Wetzlar - TBV Lemgo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lemgo (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lemgo (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lemgo (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lemgo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 1.

Recent performances by Wetzlar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lemgo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lemgo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lemgo will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 513:551. (average 25.7:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wetzlar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 256:264. (average 25.6:26.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Wetzlar
German Bundesliga Handball
07.09.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - HSG Wetzlar	24:25 ✺
03.09.25	THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar	34:30 ✺
30.08.25	HSG Wetzlar - Flensburg-Handewitt	33:33 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
09.08.25	HSG Wetzlar - MT Melsungen	25:27 ✺
08.08.25	HSG Wetzlar - SC DHfK Leipzig	32:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTLW
- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
07.09.25	TBV Lemgo - Gummersbach	31:25 ✺
04.09.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - TBV Lemgo	29:34 ✺
29.08.25	TBV Lemgo - Magdeburg	29:33 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
22.08.25	Eintracht Hagen - TBV Lemgo	29:37 ✺
17.08.25	Eisenach - TBV Lemgo	20:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
28.05.25	HSG Wetzlar - TBV Lemgo	20:26
19.09.24	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	28:25
07.03.24	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	31:23
07.09.23	HSG Wetzlar - TBV Lemgo	24:27
04.05.23	HSG Wetzlar - TBV Lemgo	26:24
08.12.22	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	34:29
13.03.22	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	29:27

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