Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Bergischer		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	4.75	9.5	1.35
	3.55	10	1.39
	3.86	9.39	1.37	Watch
	3.41	10.5	1.44
	4.33	9.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.86)	9.78 ↑ (9.39)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
23.4%

Draw
9.5%

HSV Hamburg
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

9.7%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

9.3%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

HSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bergischer - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hamburg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 317:315. (average 26.4:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergischer won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 193:174. (average 32.2:29).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German Bundesliga Handball
20.11.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - Bergischer	34:30 ✺
16.11.25	Bergischer - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	30:27 ✺
09.11.25	THW Kiel - Bergischer	43:35 ✺
German DHB Pokal
05.11.25	Bergischer - Hannover-Burgdorf	40:38 OT ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.10.25	Bergischer - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWLWT
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
23.11.25	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	34:26 ✺
13.11.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - HSV Hamburg	34:30 ✺
09.11.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - HSV Hamburg	33:29 ✺
26.10.25	Füchse Berlin - HSV Hamburg	38:39 ✺
19.10.25	HSV Hamburg - Gummersbach	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
02.05.24	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	32:30
11.11.23	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	29:28
09.04.23	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	37:34
22.09.22	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	33:23
27.12.21	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	26:27
12.09.21	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	31:26
24.10.15	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	27:29

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