Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bergischer		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	1.80	8.00	2.70
	1.98	7.00	2.15
	1.82	8.50	2.43
	2.02	6.9	2.2	Watch
	1.95	7.75	2.20
	1.97	8.25	2.34
	1.95	7.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)	7.66 ↓ (8.56)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
47.9%

Draw
12.1%

HSV Hamburg
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

10.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

10.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Bergischer - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bergischer will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (8.00) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Bergischer has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 387:381 (averaging 27.6:27.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bergischer against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 228:206 goals (averaging 32.6:29.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	Hamburg	11	3	1	7	327:334	7
16	Bergischer	9	2	0	7	249:281	4

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Bergischer: 0.85%

Last Results with these Odds

HSV Hamburg - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German Bundesliga Handball
17.10.26	MT Melsungen - Bergischer	33:26 ✺
EHF European League
13.10.26	Sesvete - Bergischer	37:31 ✺
06.10.26	Bergischer - Sävehof	29:25 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
02.10.26	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Bergischer	28:29 ✺
EHF European League
30.09.26	Tatran Prešov - Bergischer	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
17.10.26	Bietigheim - HSV Hamburg	30:35 ✺
11.10.26	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	26:19 ✺
01.10.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	34:30 ✺
27.09.26	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	37:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
22.09.26	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
26.03.26	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	34:35
30.11.25	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	35:32
02.05.24	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	32:30
11.11.23	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	29:28
09.04.23	Bergischer - HSV Hamburg	37:34
22.09.22	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	33:23
27.12.21	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	26:27

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