Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hannover-Burgdorf		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.7	8	1.78
	2.55	8.2	1.7
	2.62	6.56	1.81	Watch
	2.51	9.8	1.74	Watch
	2.55	8.4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3)	8.19 ↑ (8)	1.76 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover-Burgdorf
35.9%

Draw
11.3%

THW Kiel
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

11.7%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

11%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover-Burgdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover-Burgdorf than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hannover-Burgdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that THW Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hannover Burgdorf - THW Kiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover-Burgdorf won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hannover-Burgdorf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hannover-Burgdorf won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 531:603. (average 26.6:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hannover-Burgdorf won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 303:325. (average 27.5:29.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Hannover-Burgdorf
German Bundesliga Handball
15.09.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Hannover-Burgdorf	37:29 ✺
EHF European League
06.09.25	Alkaloid - Hannover-Burgdorf	28:29 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
03.09.25	HSV Hamburg - Hannover-Burgdorf	29:33 ✺
EHF European League
31.08.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - Alkaloid	37:27 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
27.08.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - Gummersbach	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
13.09.25	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	27:25 ✺
03.09.25	THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar	34:30 ✺
28.08.25	Erlangen - THW Kiel	29:31 ✺
German Super Cup Handball
23.08.25	Füchse Berlin - THW Kiel	34:33 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.25	Gummersbach - THW Kiel	40:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
04.06.25	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	29:29
11.12.24	THW Kiel - Hannover-Burgdorf	28:24
20.12.23	THW Kiel - Hannover-Burgdorf	34:20
09.11.23	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	36:33
07.05.23	THW Kiel - Hannover-Burgdorf	33:23
25.09.22	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	27:29
20.02.22	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	26:29

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