Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	THW Kiel		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	1.12	15	10
	1.13	13.00	8.25
	1.11	15	8.8
	1.12	12	7.7	Watch
	1.1	12	7.7
	1.12	14	10.2
	1.12	17	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↑ (1.1)	14 ↑ (13.5)	8.84 ↓ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
82.9%

Draw
6.6%

HSV Hamburg
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83%

6.8%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

HSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:28

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Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - European League and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 5.

Kiel is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Hamburg have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Kiel as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kiel has recorded 17 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 621:526 (averaging 31.1:26.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kiel against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 347:291 goals (averaging 31.5:26.5 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Kiel: 11.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Kiel	8	6	1	1	246:228	13
15	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220:229	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
03.10.26	THW Kiel - Gummersbach	29:26 ✺
30.09.26	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	32:26 ✺
26.09.26	THW Kiel - Flensburg-Handewitt	31:31 ✺
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Hüttenberg - THW Kiel	23:41 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
18.09.26	Eisenach - THW Kiel	27:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWW
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
01.10.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	34:30 ✺
27.09.26	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	37:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
22.09.26	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	30:31 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - HSV Hamburg	37:34 ✺
13.09.26	HSV Hamburg - Frisch Auf Göppingen	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
12.04.26	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	27:34
13.09.25	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	27:25
31.05.25	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	38:37
11.10.24	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	25:31
German DHB Pokal
03.10.24	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	27:30
German Bundesliga Handball
12.04.24	HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel	28:28
08.10.23	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	34:23

THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide