Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	IFK Ystad		IFK Karlskrona

	1	X	2
	1.8	8.2	2.38
	1.84	8.33	2.46
	1.8	8	2.38
	1.8	7.8	2.48
	1.8	8.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.21)	8.11 ↓ (8.27)	2.42 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Ystad
50.7%

Draw
11.3%

IFK Karlskrona
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

11%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

11.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Ystad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Ystad's performance.

IFK Karlskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IFK Karlskrona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Ystad than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Ystad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Karlskrona than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Karlskrona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IFK Ystad - IFK Karlskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches IFK Ystad won 3.

IFK Ystad is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches IFK Karlskrona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

IFK Ystad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches IFK Ystad won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 226:209 (average 28.3:26.1).

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Ystad won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 111:103 (average 27.8:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
24.11.24	Torslanda - IFK Ystad	36:34 ✺
15.11.24	IFK Ystad - VästeråsIrsta	27:35 ✺
02.11.24	IFK Ystad - Tumba	38:33 ✺
25.10.24	Lagan - IFK Ystad	30:30 ✺
19.10.24	IFK Ystad - Tyresö	30:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTL
- IFK Karlskrona
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
20.11.24	IFK Karlskrona - Kungälvs	27:27 ✺
13.11.24	Anderstorps - IFK Karlskrona	32:34 ✺
30.10.24	IFK Karlskrona - Aranäs	20:31 ✺
26.10.24	Torslanda - IFK Karlskrona	34:27 ✺
22.10.24	IFK Karlskrona - Lagan	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
10.02.24	IFK Karlskrona - IFK Ystad	25:21
07.10.23	IFK Ystad - IFK Karlskrona	29:25
07.01.23	IFK Karlskrona - IFK Ystad	29:37
19.11.22	IFK Ystad - IFK Karlskrona	27:30
Swedish Elitserien Handball
08.03.19	IFK Ystad - IFK Karlskrona	31:24
03.11.18	IFK Karlskrona - IFK Ystad	33:30
12.09.18	IFK Karlskrona - IFK Ystad	19:27

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