The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iran 42.1%
Draw 11%
Saudi Arabia 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
11.5%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
10.5%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iran's form might have worsened.
Saudi Arabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saudi Arabia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iran than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saudi Arabia than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saudi Arabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.5%
5.9%
17.6%
Iran - Saudi Arabia Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Iran will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Saudi Arabia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Iran: 56.3% – 96.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25
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Preview
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Iran won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 204-178.