Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Japan		South Korea

	1	X	2
	2.65	7.25	1.66
	2.6	8	1.6
	2.71	7.5	1.66	Watch
	2.55	9	1.7
	2.59	8.8	1.71
	2.65	8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.61)	8.09 ↓ (8.15)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
34.5%

Draw
11.2%

South Korea
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

11.1%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

11.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Japan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Japan aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Japan - South Korea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Japan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with South Korea holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Japan has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 235:239 (averaging 26.1:26.6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan handball
Asian Games Handball
28.09.26	Japan - Bahrain	31:35 ✺
25.09.26	Japan - Kuwait	37:32 ✺
25.09.26	Qatar - Japan	37:28 ✺
20.09.26	Hong Kong - Japan	17:44
20.09.26	China - Japan	27:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW
- South Korea handball
Asian Games Handball
28.09.26	South Korea - Qatar	30:32 ✺
26.09.26	South Korea - China	32:26 ✺
25.09.26	Kazakhstan - South Korea	22:44 ✺
23.09.26	South Korea - Bahrain	21:30 ✺
22.09.26	Iran - South Korea	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Championship Handball
22.01.26	South Korea - Japan	22:23
Olympic Games - Handball
26.10.23	Japan - South Korea	34:23
Asian Championship Handball
25.01.20	Japan - South Korea	32:34 OT
Asian Games Handball
31.08.18	South Korea - Japan	24:23
16.08.18	South Korea - Japan	26:26
Friendly International Handball
25.06.18	South Korea - Japan	25:18
25.06.16	South Korea - Japan	29:24

Japan - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide