Match Info

Asian Games Women

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Japan W		South Korea W

	1	X	2
	2.80	9.00	1.57
	3.00	8.50	1.52
	3.22	7.6	1.51
	3.11	9.20	1.56
	3.15	8.80	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.23)	8.62 ↑ (7.75)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
30%

Draw
10.6%

South Korea W
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

11.8%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

10.6%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

South Korea W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea W than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Korea W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Japan W - South Korea W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 2.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

Japan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Japan has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 239:278 (averaging 23.9:27.8 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	South Korea W	6	6	0	0	243:105	12
2	Japan W	6	5	0	1	217:120	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W handball
Asian Games Handball Women
25.09.26	Kazakhstan W - Japan W	24:39 ✺
23.09.26	China W - Japan W	27:33 ✺
22.09.26	Hong Kong W - Japan W	16:39
20.09.26	Japan W - Uzbekistan W	43:12
18.09.26	Japan W - Vietnam W	40:14
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWW
- South Korea W handball
Asian Games Handball Women
26.09.26	South Korea W - Vietnam W	46:18 ✺
25.09.26	South Korea W - China W	37:17 ✺
23.09.26	Uzbekistan W - South Korea W	13:43
20.09.26	South Korea W - Kazakhstan W	42:18 ✺
18.09.26	Hong Kong W - South Korea W	16:48
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Championship Handball Women
10.12.24	South Korea W - Japan W	24:25
Asian Games Handball Women
05.10.23	South Korea W - Japan W	19:29
Olympic Games - Handball Women
23.08.23	Japan W - South Korea W	24:25
Asian Championship Handball Women
04.12.22	South Korea W - Japan W	34:29 OT
25.09.21	South Korea W - Japan W	33:24
Olympic Games - Handball Women
29.07.21	Japan W - South Korea W	24:27
Asian Championship Handball Women
09.12.18	South Korea W - Japan W	30:25

Japan W - South Korea W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide