Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Jeruzalem Ormož		Krka

	1	X	2
	2.8	8	1.62
	2.82	7.78	1.61	Watch
	2.63	8	1.62
	2.7	8.9	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.42)	8.17 ↓ (11.15)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeruzalem Ormož
33.1%

Draw
11.1%

Krka
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

8.1%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

7.5%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeruzalem Ormož has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeruzalem Ormož than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeruzalem Ormož, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeruzalem Ormož won 1.

In recent matches, Jeruzalem Ormož has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Krka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jeruzalem Ormož may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Krka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jeruzalem Ormož won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 439:486. (average 25.8:28.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeruzalem Ormož won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 240:251. (average 26.7:27.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Krka	6	4	2	0	188:172	10
8	Jeruzalem Ormoz	6	2	2	2	178:185	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Jeruzalem Ormož
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
27.03.26	Trimo Trebnje - Jeruzalem Ormož	34:30 ✺
14.03.26	Jeruzalem Ormož - Celje Pivovarna Laško	31:39 ✺
07.03.26	Ivančna Gorica - Jeruzalem Ormož	29:31 ✺
28.02.26	Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka	27:31 ✺
21.02.26	Ribnica - Jeruzalem Ormož	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW
- MRK Krka
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
25.03.26	Krka - Celje Pivovarna Laško	30:31 ✺
14.03.26	Trimo Trebnje - Krka	27:24 ✺
07.03.26	Krka - Celje Pivovarna Laško	26:32 ✺
28.02.26	Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka	27:31 ✺
25.02.26	Trimo Trebnje - Krka	26:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
28.02.26	Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka	27:31
08.11.25	Krka - Jeruzalem Ormož	31:28
07.03.25	Krka - Jeruzalem Ormož	27:31
16.11.24	Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka	20:28
28.02.24	Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka	26:26
23.09.23	Krka - Jeruzalem Ormož	30:23
Slovenian Cup Handball
06.05.23	Jeruzalem Ormož - Krka	26:22

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