Match Info

Superliga - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	Kalisz		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	2.5	7.8	1.75
	2.51	9.1	1.73
	2.57	8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.1)	8.3 ↓ (8.5)	1.72 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kalisz
36.1%

Draw
11%

Chrobry Głogów
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

10.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

10.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kalisz's form might have worsened.

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chrobry Głogów's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalisz than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kalisz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chrobry Głogów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kalisz - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalisz won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kalisz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kalisz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 441:461. (average 25.9:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalisz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 214:217. (average 26.8:27.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Handball Kalisz
Polish Superliga Handball
22.09.25	Stal Mielec - Kalisz	28:24 ✺
15.09.25	Kalisz - Legionowo	25:24 ✺
06.09.25	Puławy - Kalisz	29:34 ✺
03.09.25	Kalisz - Vive Kielce	27:38 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
09.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Kalisz	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- SPR Chrobry Głogów
Polish Superliga Handball
20.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Lubin	27:26 ✺
15.09.25	Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów	28:27 ✺
EHF European League
06.09.25	HF Karlskrona - Chrobry Głogów	37:35 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
03.09.25	Legionowo - Chrobry Głogów	20:25 ✺
EHF European League
30.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - HF Karlskrona	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
18.05.25	Chrobry Głogów - Kalisz	31:24
15.12.24	Kalisz - Chrobry Głogów	28:29 penalties
14.09.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kalisz	28:27
07.02.24	Chrobry Głogów - Kalisz	28:17
24.09.23	Kalisz - Chrobry Głogów	24:28
25.02.23	Chrobry Głogów - Kalisz	25:26
23.09.22	Kalisz - Chrobry Głogów	23:24

Kalisz - Chrobry Głogów: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide