Match Info

Superliga - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Kalisz		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.51	8.25	3.10
	1.55	9.50	2.90
	1.52	7.8	3.27
	1.55	9.00	3.04
	1.50	9.00	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	8.71 ↑ (8.68)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalisz
59.9%

Draw
10.5%

Stal Mielec
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

10.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Kalisz - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalisz won 4.

Kalisz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kalisz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Kalisz is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Kalisz has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 404:366 (averaging 28.9:26.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kalisz against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 205:183 goals (averaging 29.3:26.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Kalisz	5	1	1	0	3	136:146	5
11	Stal Mielec	5	0	0	0	5	120:150	0

Last Results with these Odds

Kalisz - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 59.84%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Handball Kalisz
Polish Superliga Handball
26.09.26	Legionowo - Kalisz	26:27 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Kalisz - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	30:31 ✺
EHF European Cup
19.09.26	Brno - Kalisz	23:25 ✺
12.09.26	Kalisz - Brno	28:23
Polish Superliga Handball
09.09.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Kalisz	34:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL
- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
28.09.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	23:35 ✺
21.09.26	Gwardia Opole - Stal Mielec	28:27 ✺
14.09.26	Stal Mielec - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	24:28 ✺
05.09.26	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec	31:25 ✺
09.05.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Stal Mielec	30:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
21.12.25	Kalisz - Stal Mielec	27:24
22.09.25	Stal Mielec - Kalisz	28:24
27.03.22	Stal Mielec - Kalisz	29:30
23.10.21	Kalisz - Stal Mielec	39:38 penalties
10.04.21	Kalisz - Stal Mielec	28:24
17.10.20	Stal Mielec - Kalisz	26:28 penalties
07.12.19	Kalisz - Stal Mielec	26:20

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