Match Info

Superliga Women - Winners stage - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Koszalin		Gniezno

	1	X	2
	2.55	8.4	1.7
	2.66	7.35	1.69	Watch
	2.63	7.5	1.67
	2.26	8.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	7.96 ↓ (10.07)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koszalin
36%

Draw
11.4%

Gniezno
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

8.1%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koszalin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gniezno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koszalin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gniezno than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Koszalin - Gniezno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Koszalin won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Koszalin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gniezno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Koszalin won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 411:394. (average 27.4:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Koszalin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 200:186. (average 28.6:26.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Gniezno W	5	3	0	0	2	154:132	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energa AZS Koszalin
Polish Superliga Handball Women
17.02.26	Koszalin - MKS Lublin	19:33 ✺
13.02.26	Koszalin - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	25:24 ✺
04.02.26	Gniezno - Koszalin	26:31 ✺
24.01.26	Sośnica Gliwice - Koszalin	35:31 ✺
17.01.26	Koszalin - Halychanka Lviv	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWLW
- MKS PR Gniezno
Polish Superliga Handball Women
25.02.26	Gniezno - Zagłębie Lubin	13:24 ✺
04.02.26	Gniezno - Koszalin	26:31 ✺
31.01.26	Ruch Kalisz - Gniezno	24:32 ✺
27.01.26	Gniezno - Start Elbląg	30:21 ✺
14.01.26	Kobierzyce - Gniezno	26:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball Women
04.02.26	Gniezno - Koszalin	26:31
05.11.25	Koszalin - Gniezno	32:27
05.02.25	Gniezno - Koszalin	31:23
15.09.24	Koszalin - Gniezno	25:26
24.04.24	Koszalin - Gniezno	32:31
10.03.24	Gniezno - Koszalin	27:25
07.01.24	Koszalin - Gniezno	21:30

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