Match Info

HLA - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Krems		Alpla Hard

	1	X	2
	1.71	7.25	2.60
	1.7	8	2.57
	1.7	7.3	2.66	Watch
	1.68	7.6	2.5
	1.72	8	2.57	Watch
	1.74	8.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)	7.73 ↓ (8.9)	2.6 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krems
53.2%

Draw
11.8%

Alpla Hard
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

10%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krems has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alpla Hard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Krems - Alpla Hard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krems won 4.

Alpla Hard is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Krems could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Krems is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Krems has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 543:572 (averaging 27.2:28.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Krems against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 224:231 goals (averaging 28:28.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Alpla Hard	6	2	0	4	182:189	4
11	Krems	5	1	0	4	145:158	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UHK Krems
Austrian NLA Handball
19.09.26	Füchse - Krems	25:27 ✺
12.09.26	Tirol - Krems	31:29 ✺
05.09.26	HSG Graz - Krems	35:32 ✺
Austrian Supercup Handball
29.08.26	Vöslauer - Krems	35:31 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
09.05.26	Ferlach - Krems	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLL
- Alpla Hard
Austrian NLA Handball
23.09.26	Alpla Hard - Vöslauer	34:27 ✺
EHF European Cup
19.09.26	Alpla Hard - Dubočica	32:34
12.09.26	Dubočica - Alpla Hard	34:33
Austrian NLA Handball
11.09.26	Alpla Hard - Ferlach	26:28 ✺
05.09.26	Füchse - Alpla Hard	35:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian OHB Cup
25.04.26	Alpla Hard - Krems	21:24
Austrian NLA Handball
20.02.26	Alpla Hard - Krems	35:32
20.09.25	Krems - Alpla Hard	32:31
06.06.25	Krems - Alpla Hard	25:23
30.05.25	Alpla Hard - Krems	30:32
15.02.25	Krems - Alpla Hard	30:36
27.09.24	Alpla Hard - Krems	27:23

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