Match Info

SWITZERLAND: NLA - Round 14

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday


	Kreuzlingen		Suhr Aarau

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.45
	1.85	9.5	2.2
	1.81	8	2.37
	1.8	8.01	2.45	Watch
	1.8	8	2.38
	1.91	7.7	2.23
	1.81	8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.16)	8.17 ↑ (7.55)	2.35 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kreuzlingen
50%

Draw
11.2%

Suhr Aarau
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

12%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

12.1%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kreuzlingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kreuzlingen's performance.

Suhr Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suhr Aarau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kreuzlingen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kreuzlingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suhr Aarau than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suhr Aarau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kreuzlingen - Suhr Aarau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kreuzlingen won 3.

Kreuzlingen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Suhr Aarau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kreuzlingen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 174:194 (average 24.9:27.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kreuzlingen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 82:81 (average 27.3:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSC Kreuzlingen
Swiss NLA Handball
20.11.24	Kreuzlingen - Pfadi Winterthur	28:27 ✺
13.11.24	RTV Basel - Kreuzlingen	28:28 ✺
02.11.24	Wacker Thun - Kreuzlingen	27:34 ✺
26.10.24	Kreuzlingen - Amicitia Zurich	29:26 ✺
12.10.24	HC Kriens-Luzern - Kreuzlingen	34:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWL
- HSC Suhr Aarau
Swiss NLA Handball
23.11.24	Suhr Aarau - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	23:26 ✺
13.11.24	Amicitia Zurich - Suhr Aarau	27:28 ✺
02.11.24	Pfadi Winterthur - Suhr Aarau	28:28 ✺
26.10.24	Suhr Aarau - HC Kriens-Luzern	24:29 ✺
13.10.24	Suhr Aarau - Bern Muri	31:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
08.09.24	Suhr Aarau - Kreuzlingen	36:25
23.03.24	Kreuzlingen - Suhr Aarau	31:28
12.11.23	Suhr Aarau - Kreuzlingen	24:26
27.09.23	Kreuzlingen - Suhr Aarau	28:28
12.02.23	Suhr Aarau - Kreuzlingen	21:23
10.11.22	Kreuzlingen - Suhr Aarau	23:25
10.09.22	Suhr Aarau - Kreuzlingen	32:18

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