Match Info

NLA - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Suhr Aarau		Bern Muri

	1	X	2
	3	8.5	1.52
	3	8.8	1.54
	2.92	7.78	1.58	Watch
	3	8.5	1.5
	2.86	9	1.6
	3	9	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	8.6 ↑ (7.6)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suhr Aarau
30.6%

Draw
10.5%

Bern Muri
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

11.9%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

10.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suhr Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bern Muri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suhr Aarau than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern Muri than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bern Muri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Suhr Aarau - Bern Muri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suhr Aarau won 2.

Suhr Aarau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bern has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Suhr Aarau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bern could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suhr Aarau won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 536:546. (average 26.8:27.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Suhr Aarau won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 332:315. (average 27.7:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSC Suhr Aarau
Swiss NLA Handball
10.12.25	Amicitia Zurich - Suhr Aarau	34:25 ✺
19.11.25	Suhr Aarau - Pfadi Winterthur	29:33 ✺
12.11.25	Suhr Aarau - TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	29:29 ✺
05.11.25	RTV Basel - Suhr Aarau	21:29 ✺
25.10.25	HC Kriens-Luzern - Suhr Aarau	38:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL
- BSV Bern Muri
Swiss NLA Handball
06.12.25	Kadetten Schaffhausen - Bern Muri	31:30 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Bern Muri - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	28:28 ✺
25.11.25	Montpellier HB - Bern Muri	37:29 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
22.11.25	Bern Muri - HC Kriens-Luzern	33:35 ✺
EHF European League
18.11.25	THW Kiel - Bern Muri	37:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
08.10.25	Bern Muri - Suhr Aarau	39:27
05.04.25	Suhr Aarau - Bern Muri	27:26
19.12.24	Bern Muri - Suhr Aarau	33:30
13.10.24	Suhr Aarau - Bern Muri	31:33
25.02.24	Suhr Aarau - Bern Muri	26:23
08.11.23	Bern Muri - Suhr Aarau	33:28
03.09.23	Suhr Aarau - Bern Muri	33:27

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