The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lübeck-Schwartau 77.7%
Draw 7.7%
TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen 14.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.3%
8.8%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
8.4%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lübeck-Schwartau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lübeck-Schwartau's performance.
TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck-Schwartau than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lübeck-Schwartau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lübeck-Schwartau won 2.
Lübeck-Schwartau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Friesenheim is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Friesenheim may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Lübeck-Schwartau as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Lübeck-Schwartau has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 370:364 (averaging 28.5:28 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lübeck-Schwartau against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 177:163 goals (averaging 29.5:27.2 per game).