Match Info

Division de Honor Women - Play Out - Round 3

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	La Calzada		Sporting La Rioja

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.75	3.1
	1.53	8.6	3
	1.56	7.36	3.2	Watch
	1.59	7.9	3.02	Watch
	1.53	8.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	8.24 ↑ (7.5)	3.06 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
59.2%

Draw
11.1%

Sporting La Rioja
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

12.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

10.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sporting La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Calzada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting La Rioja than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:21

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Preview

La Calzada is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting La Rioja has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Sporting La Rioja has had a series of home games.

In this match, La Calzada is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 88:81. (average 22:20.3).

Including home matches between the teams, La Calzada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:39. (average 21.5:19.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM La Calzada
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
14.05.25	Morvedre - La Calzada	19:19 ✺
10.05.25	La Calzada - Elda Prestigia	16:18 ✺
03.05.25	Elda Prestigia - La Calzada	31:19 ✺
26.04.25	La Calzada - Porriño	21:21 ✺
19.04.25	Malaga Costa del Sol - La Calzada	37:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLTL
- Sporting La Rioja
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
14.05.25	Sporting La Rioja - Elda Prestigia	21:20 ✺
10.05.25	Sporting La Rioja - Morvedre	20:18 ✺
03.05.25	Bera Bera - Sporting La Rioja	23:17 ✺
26.04.25	Sporting La Rioja - Beti Onak	17:16 ✺
19.04.25	Sporting La Rioja - BM Granollers	22:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
23.03.25	Sporting La Rioja - La Calzada	19:21
02.11.24	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	17:19
15.04.23	La Calzada - Sporting La Rioja	26:20
17.01.23	Sporting La Rioja - La Calzada	23:24

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